Carbon emissions from energy expected to increase globally through 2050

Published on October 03, 2019 by Dave Kovaleski

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Carbon dioxide emissions from energy-related sources will continue to grow in the coming decades, according to the Energy Information Administration’s International Energy Outlook 2019.

The reports found that global energy-related CO2 emissions will grow 0.6 percent per year from 2018 to 2050. This increase is not from developed economies, which have no emissions growth. All of the future growth in energy-related CO2 emissions is from countries outside the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD).

As non-OECD countries grow, their demand for energy will too. Energy consumption in non-OECD countries is expected to increase by 1.6 percent per year from 2018 to 2050. Further, energy-related CO2 emissions from these countries will increase by 1.0 percent per year. China emits the most energy-related CO2 emissions in the world, and EIA says it will remain the leader in CO2 emissions until 2050. Also, India’s coal-related CO2 emissions are anticipated to increase 2.8 percent annually from 2018 to 2050.

The reports said energy-related CO2 emissions from OECD countries would decrease slightly (0.2 percent) from 2018 to 2050. CO2 emissions from petroleum liquids and coal consumption are on the decline, but emissions from natural gas consumption will increase. The United States will remain the largest emitter of energy-related CO2 emissions among OECD members and the largest emitter of natural gas-related emissions among all countries through 2050.